Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Election Day

As you've probably noticed, I've been spending an inordinate amount of time blogging on here about the 2008 Presidential election. Now that it's finally upon us, I'm going to have a busy day of doing other things, before I watch the results tonight, with the rest of you. The New York Times has a piece about things to watch for in the evening election coverage. Networks won't call states until after the polls close, which starts to happen in a meaningful way between 7:00 - 8:30 EST. If Obama is having trouble in some of those initial polls, and/or if networks seem hesitant to call important states, it could portend a much tighter race than the polling data suggests.

All of that said, I think it's worth paying close attention to the Senate races. There are a number of pretty close, incredibly important Senate races, including in Minnesota, Georgia, and even potentially in my home state of Kentucky, where the Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell is reportedly only up by 5 points in polls that have a margin of error of almost 4 points. If people like McConnell start losing their seats, this will be much bigger for the Dems than even conventional wisdom has it. And I think that's possible.

My money is on a real rout. I think states like Georgia, which many are now giving to the GOP, will be close. Unless people are a lot more racist that they're letting on, this is going to be something to see.

Go get your "I Voted" sticker; I'm wearing one right now.

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