Saturday, October 25, 2008

The Number 60

So they spent $150K on Sarah Palin's wardrobe, so the highest paid member of McCain's campaign is Sarah Palin's stylist, who had $24K in the space of two weeks in October while McCain is now attempting to run on a pseudo-populist platform: what more do you want? At least they're as blatant with the hypocrisy as the current administration.

Yesterday, there was a big shift on Intrade in Georgia: they now have McCain up 65 to 35 (this is in percentage terms of the likelihood of a win and doesn't represent aggregate polling).

Intrade now has Obama at 375 electoral votes and McCain at 163, whereas the the aggregate polling data on the Princeton Election Consortium has Obama at 363 to McCain's 175.

I think the Deep South is in play, despite what you've probably heard.

Oh, and what about the economy? Credit markets haven't gotten much better, earnings are down, and global stock prices continue to fall--in some place pretty dramatically. We're all still in a lot of trouble. I think we should all be watching the Senate races even closer than we are already. Whatever your party affiliation, if you want to give money, the places you can make the most difference are in those tight Senate races in places like Georgia and Minnesota. Getting 60 Senate seats could be crucial for the Dems if they want to pass real health care reforms and shake things up in the ways the public will be expecting. So while the Presidency is certainly important, the number 60 in the Senate is a close second.

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